Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 7.306823e-01 0.933100 1.160229 1.431068 1.742350 2.086167 2.491847
2025-06-29 4.403890e-01 0.688874 1.003946 1.419378 1.939571 2.557038 3.332758
2025-07-06 2.525816e-01 0.498433 0.853706 1.369920 2.067542 2.946761 4.107228
2025-07-13 1.529366e-01 0.386757 0.771305 1.380856 2.258618 3.418290 5.006925
2025-07-20 9.050968e-02 0.302830 0.702172 1.389326 2.435952 3.874831 5.906582
2025-07-27 4.687417e-02 0.224846 0.616028 1.349839 2.531234 4.217714 6.666268
2025-08-03 2.211642e-02 0.166614 0.543503 1.313544 2.618855 4.545993 7.412435
2025-08-10 1.043352e-02 0.131181 0.502889 1.321343 2.769249 4.965254 8.293961
2025-08-17 3.321454e-03 0.094794 0.443120 1.279535 2.830196 5.250301 8.991583
2025-08-24 1.342793e-03 0.081723 0.437510 1.341141 3.065611 5.803679 10.086016
2025-08-31 2.309160e-04 0.063475 0.407324 1.345021 3.198699 6.202841 10.965927
2025-09-07 4.307351e-05 0.057884 0.415495 1.432464 3.483564 6.845884 12.217173
2025-09-14 2.961370e-08 0.049101 0.408877 1.487889 3.718593 7.426461 13.403692
2025-09-21 NaN 0.039034 0.390649 1.512975 3.899086 7.926999 14.485241
2025-09-28 NaN 0.026953 0.352019 1.480161 3.966692 8.246663 15.302392
2025-10-05 NaN 0.020695 0.336002 1.501513 4.138323 8.740066 16.392543
2025-10-12 NaN 0.015394 0.318739 1.515572 4.294755 9.211192 17.456477
2025-10-19 NaN 0.009485 0.285286 1.476220 4.339286 9.494522 18.235219
2025-10-26 NaN 0.005462 0.255285 1.438918 4.383145 9.775539 19.013718
2025-11-02 NaN 0.003540 0.241235 1.447891 4.523671 10.224916 20.063104
2025-11-09 NaN 0.001614 0.213382 1.403702 4.545251 10.466713 20.787634
2025-11-16 NaN 0.001277 0.216913 1.469496 4.811705 11.144150 22.215404
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000643 0.204217 1.473719 4.940358 11.580331 23.263883